Maritime chokepoint P0 Middle East / Mediterranean

Suez Canal

Attribution : eia_suez_sumed_critical_routes_2019 · eia_world_oil_transit_chokepoints · suez_canal_authority_navigation_statistics · unctad_red_sea_panama_disruptions_2024 · unctad_review_maritime_transport_2024 · world_bank_red_sea_shipping_crisis_2025

Flux

Container shipping · importance 5
UNCTAD rapid assessment cites about 22% of global seaborne container trade through Suez in 2023.
Crude oil · importance 4
3 million_barrels_per_day (2024) · Official reported

EIA reported crude/condensate through Suez Canal and SUMED combined for 2024; split requires additional source.
Dry bulk · importance 3
P0 hardening default: scored qualitatively; object-specific quantification still required where available.
LNG · importance 3
0.5 billion_cubic_feet_per_day (2024) · Official reported

EIA reported LNG flows through Suez Canal for 2024 after Red Sea disruption.
Refined products · importance 4
1.7 million_barrels_per_day (2024) · Official reported

EIA reported products through Suez Canal and SUMED combined for 2024.

Métriques de référence

Une métrique n'est pas un flux : un stock est un solde à une date, une capacité un maximum potentiel. Ni l'un ni l'autre ne se compare à un volume réellement écoulé.

PortWatch avg daily transit capacity (DWT)
1634646 dwt_per_day · 2026-07
PortWatch avg daily vessel transits
42.8 vessels_per_day · 2026-07
Exposed trade value (Oxford OPSIS)
1000000000 usd_per_year · 2022

Risques

Blockage · Structural · Assessed · impact 5
Insurance cost spike · Elevated · Assessed · impact 4
Military escalation · Active · Assessed · impact 5
Rerouting cost spike · Active · Assessed · impact 5

Alternatives / bypass

Cape of Good Hope route — faisabilité : Medium · pénalité de capacité : Low · Candidate
EIA cites ~15 added days for Arabian Sea–Europe oil if Suez/SUMED close; open-ocean route has ample capacity but high cost/time (eia_suez_sumed_critical_routes_2019; unctad_red_sea_panama_disruptions_2024).
limited air/rail bridge for high-value cargo — faisabilité : Low · pénalité de capacité : High · Candidate
Absorbs only a small high-value share of Suez cargo (unctad_review_maritime_transport_2024).

Épisodes de perturbation

Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb shipping crisis (2023–) · 2023-11-19 · High · Ongoing
Ever Given grounding — Suez Canal blockage (2021) · 2021-03-23 → 2021-03-29 · High · Ended

Données canoniques issues de la base chokepoints (lecture seule). Geometry is schematic and not validated for navigational or legal precision. Les résultats analytiques dérivés sont des candidats en attente de validation humaine et ne constituent ni une prédiction ni un conseil engageant.