Strait of Hormuz

• Container shipping · importance 3
  Container relevance is secondary to energy; retain as contextual flow.
• Crude oil · importance 5
  14.6 million_barrels_per_day (2024) · Official reported
  EIA reported crude/condensate through Hormuz for 2024.
• LNG · importance 5
  10.5 billion_cubic_feet_per_day (2024) · Official reported
  EIA reported LNG flows through Hormuz for 2024.
• Refined products · importance 5
  6.1 million_barrels_per_day (2024) · Official reported
  EIA reported petroleum products through Hormuz for 2024.

Une métrique n'est pas un flux : un stock est un solde à une date, une capacité un maximum potentiel. Ni l'un ni l'autre ne se compare à un volume réellement écoulé.

• PortWatch avg daily transit capacity (DWT)
  1294776 dwt_per_day · 2026-07
• PortWatch avg daily vessel transits
  34.2 vessels_per_day · 2026-07
• Exposed trade value (Oxford OPSIS)
  2000000000 usd_per_year · 2022

• Blockade · Elevated · Assessed · impact 5
• Insurance cost spike · Elevated · Assessed · impact 4
• Military escalation · Elevated · Assessed · impact 5
• Mining · Elevated · Assessed · impact 5
• Perception regime change · Baseline · To assess

• Saudi East-West Pipeline and Red Sea terminals — faisabilité : Medium · pénalité de capacité : High · Candidate
  Petroline spare capacity covers only a fraction of Hormuz oil throughput (eia_world_oil_transit_chokepoints; iea_strait_of_hormuz_oil_security).
• UAE Habshan-Fujairah pipeline/terminal system — faisabilité : Medium · pénalité de capacité : High · Candidate
  Adds limited bypass capacity to the Gulf of Oman, far below Hormuz volumes (eia_world_oil_transit_chokepoints; iea_strait_of_hormuz_oil_security).
• strategic petroleum reserves and demand response — faisabilité : Low · pénalité de capacité : High · Candidate
  Buffers a short disruption only; not a structural substitute for Gulf oil/LNG exports (iea_strait_of_hormuz_oil_security).

• Strait of Hormuz tanker attacks & seizures (2019) · 2019-05-12 → 2019-07-19 · High · Ended